APEC-wide Foresight Project - Foresighting Future Fuel Technology

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APEC-wide Foresight Project

APEC Experts' Meeting on "Foresighting Future Fuel Technology"
13-15 December 2004
Krabi, Thailand



DOWNLOAD POSITION PAPERS DISTRIBUTED PRIOR TO THE MEETING
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Canada

 

 

Japan
Thailand

WORKSHOP PROGRAM (DOWNLOAD PRESENTATIONS)

DAY 1: MONDAY 13 DECEMBER 2004

08.30-09.00
Registration

09.00-09.05
Opening Remarks:
by Dr. Saksit Tridech, Deputy Permanent Secretary of Science and Technology, Thailand

09:05-09:30
Introduction: “Foresighting Future Fuel Technology” Project and Roles of Workshop Participants
by Dr. Chatri Sripaipan

09:30-10:15 Presentation 1:

10:15-10:30 Coffee Break

10:30-12:00 Presentation 2: Existing and Emerging Fuel Technologies

  • Biofuels
    by Dr. Kenneth White, Action White Associates (Canada) and Dr. Samai Jai-in, Royal Thai Navy (Thailand)
    Conventional Hydrocarbons
    by Dr. Kuniko Urashima, National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (Japan)

12:00-13:30 Lunch

13.30-14.45 Presentation 3: Existing and Emerging Fuel Technologies (continued)

14:45-15:00 Presentation 4: Report of the Web-Based Survey and Webboard Discussion by Prof. Greg Tegart and Ms. Mayuree Vathanakuljarus, APEC Center for Technology Foresight (CTF)

15:00-15:15 Coffee Break

15:15-16:00 Special Presentation:

16:00 - 17:30 Round Table Discussion

19:00-21:30 Reception Dinner
Pre-dinner Talk on Modeling Tools for Energy Scenario Analysis by
Robert Hoffman, Robbert Associates Ltd. (Canada)

END OF DAY 1

DAY 2: TUESDAY, 14 DECEMBER 2004

Scenario Workshop
08:30-08:45 Objectives of Day 2
Review: Highlights and Issues of Day 1
08:45-09:00 Introduction: Foresight and Scenario Planning
09:00-10:15 Identification and grouping of Key Drivers

10:15-10:30 Coffee Break

10:30-12:00 Identification and Ranking of Key Uncertainties

12:00-13:30 Lunch

13:30-15:30 Scenario Creation: Discuss in small groups including informal break
(Coffee Break available from 14:30-)

15:30-16:00 Group Presentations
16:00-17:00 Backcasting of Key Decision-Points and Initiatives (Small Groups)

Questions you will be asked:

  • What would have had happened? What happens in 2010, 2020, 2025, that got you to 2030. What is the final stage and what would you have done differently to get there, desirable or undesirable?
  • What advise would you give to the policy makers and the Cabinet today to avoid or access to undesirable scenario?

17:00-18:00 Group Presentations and Discussion

19:00-20:30 Dinner
Special Pre-Dinner Talk on "Alcohol as an alternative Fuel and the outlook for the future" by Dr. Sergio Trindade, International Expert at SE2T International, Ltd. (USA)

END OF DAY 2

DAY 3: WEDNESDAY, 15 DECEMBER 2004

08:30-08:45 Reprise: Achievements of Day 2
08:45-09:45 Identification of Initiatives for the APEC Region under Each Scenario
09:45-10:30 Refinement and Prioritization of Initiatives by Jack Smith

10:30-10:45 Coffee Break

10:45-11:00 Briefing: Post-Workshop Activities by Geoffrey Nimmo (Technology Roadmapping in 2005)

11:00-11:45 General discussion: How to link into the Technology Roadmapping Stage

11:45-12:00 Evaluation and Closing Remarks

12:00-13:00 Lunch

13:00-18:00 Boat Excursion to a nearby Islands (View Image Galleries)




LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
(Total of 55 Experts from 12 APEC Economies)


Deputy Permanent Secretary of MoST, Thailand

LEAD FACILITATORS
Greg Tegart
Jack Smith
Chatri Sripaipan
Nares Damrongchai

ENERGY WORKING GROUP (EWG)
Aidan Storer
Sittichod Wantawin

AUSTRALIA
Tom Beer

BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
Eddie Dato Paduka Haji Sunny
Talib Bin Sulaiman

CANADA
David Minns
Donald G. Simpson
Geoff Nimmo
Ken White
Robert B. Hoffman

CHINA
Wang Fuchen

JAPAN
Kuniko Urashima
Yuji Yoshimura
Yusuji Watanabe

KOREA
Kwang-Ho Lee

INDONESIA
Achiar Oemry
Bambang Pramudya
Bambang Prasetya
I Waym Budiastra
Ir. Neni Sintawardani
Ir. Soni Solistia Wirawan
Mohamad Nur Hidayat
Verina Januati Wargadalam

PHILIPPINES
Eric A. Raymundo
Olivia Castillo

SINGAPORE
Ho Hiang Kwee
King Wang POON
Lynette Cheah
Vincent SOH

CHINESE TAIPEI
Chung-Hsien Chen
Fanghei Tsau
Hom-Ti Lee

U.S.A.
Phyllis Yoshida
Sergio C. Trindade

THAILAND
Lead Co-facilitators
Paritud Bhandhubanyong
Pavadee Aungkavattana

Boonrod Sajjakulnukit
Bundit Fungtammasan
Naksitte Coovattanachai
Peesamai Jenvanitpanjakul
Pitipoom Phasee
Samai Jai-in
Siriluk Nivitchanyong
Sonthi Vannasaeng
Suriya Ayachanun
Thanasat Sooksimuang
Usanee Chatranon
Wantanee Bugggakupta
Witchuda Suwanwatana
Withaya Yongcharoen

APEC CTF
Executive Director

Yada Mukdapitak
An APEC Symposium on Foresighting Future Fuel Technology Imperial Mae Ping Hotel Chiangmai, Thailand 3-4 November 2005

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