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 APPENDIX 2: WORKSHOP
PROGRAM
DAY 1
Introduction and Objectives of
the Course
Identify the future orientation and interests of fellow participants,
understand clearly the objectives of the course, and outline desired
outcomes.
The Use of Foresight around the
World
There has been a dramatic growth in the variety of applications of foresight
in international organizations and in countries around the world. This
session will introduce participants to a range of these studies, and
what they have achieved.
Introduction to the Portfolio
of Tools for Managing the Future
An overview of the major tools, their methods and assumptions, emphasising
the appropriate contexts and objectives for the application of each
tool, and tool combinations
Competence: a broad understanding
of the portfolio of tools and appropriate application
Environmental Scanning - the
Foundation Steps
Explanations of environmental scanning, the key steps in preparing for
any approach to managing the future. Through group simulation exercises,
participants will examine the techniques, reflect on the challenges
involved, and identify the skills and resources required.
Competence: organisation
and performance of these foundation steps.
DAY 2
Scenario Planning
All of the tools examined in detail on Day 2 are, in various ways, tools
for projecting the future. The major alternative for future management
is scenario planning, which generates a range of possible alternative
futures and then seeks to establish courses of action that are likely
to be robust under this range of possible futures. As the first stage
is an exercise in imagination, it benefits from social processes that
emphasise creativity, and from engaging a variety of different experiences
and insights. Over two sessions, participants will be introduced to
the principles and procedures of scenario planning, examine scenario
case studies, and develop their own scenarios (in small groups).
Competence: organisation,
performance and limitations of scenario planning
Delphi Polling
Learn how and why Delphi surveys are a popular tool for predicting the
rate of development of key technologies, asssessing the contribution
of technology to socio-economic needs and generating a consensus about
research and technology development priorities. Special attention will
be paid to organisational and data management requirements.
Competence: organisation,
performance and limitations of Delphi polling.
DAY 3
Technology Roadmapping
(TRM)
Examine the principles and processes of TRM, a foresight tool used increasingly
in the past few years to organise the application of technical and industrial
expertise to determining appropriate technological routes to agreed
socio-economic and customer needs. Reviews of case studies will show
the range of models, including morphology and relevance tree, and the
key processes involved. Exercise on a short case study.
Competence: design, performance,
management and limitations of TRM
"Explore Bangkok"
DAY 4
Detailed Case Studies of the Application
of Future Tools
Get a direct 'feel', through case studies based on real events, of just
how a foresight can be designed and implemented, the issues that have
to be considered along the way, and the range of outcomes that can be
achieved.
Effective Management of Future
Projects
Explore the major logistic requirements in the design, performance and
implementation of the tools (and tool combinations) and develop a checklist
to guide the management and execution of any futures exercise.
Competence: logistics
and management of future management exercises
Implementing the Findings of
Future Management Exercises
Learn how to ensure that the outputs of future management exercises
become embodied in debate and decision-making, for only then can the
potential of all these tools be achieved - study a range of approaches
to implementation in the public and private sector.
Competence: implementation
of future management exercises in the public and private sector
Summation and Evaluation of Future
Management
A collective summation of the lessons learnt and competencies developed
during the workshop; then develop your personal program for applying
your learning and developing your skills further.
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